Karen A. Ibach, CFP, Presents
Weekly Economic Update for the Week of June 29, 2009
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Quote of the week. “Nothing will work unless you do.” – John Wooden
Stimulated spending & saving. Consumer spending rose 0.3% in May while incomes rose 1.4%. Analysts call the gains a clear effect of the federal government’s economic stimulus package. As incomes rose much more than spending, the personal savings rate hit 6.9% in May - a level unseen since December 1993.1
More demand for big-ticket items. The Commerce Department announced a big gain in durable goods orders – they went north 1.8% in May, matching what happened in April. Economists had projected a 0.9% drop.2
Fed thinks recession is waning. The Federal Reserve left the key interest rate untouched last week. The Fed’s policy statement shared the belief that “the pace of economic contraction is slowing” and that inflation would “remain subdued for some time.” Interpreting this, many economists believe the Fed will leave interest rates alone until 2010.3
Over in the real estate sector … Sales of existing homes increased by 2.4% in May, as bargains beckoned – sale prices were 17.0% under where they were a year ago, according to the National Association of Realtors. Disappointingly, the Commerce Department estimated that new home sales were down 0.6% last month.4
Consumers gain yet more confidence. The final Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index for June came in at 70.8, up from 68.7 in May.1
Mixed week for stocks. While the NASDAQ gained 0.6% last week, the S&P 500 slipped 0.3% from Monday to Friday. The DJIA lost 1.2% over that span.5
|
% Change
|
Y-T-D
|
1-Year
|
5-Yr Avg
|
|
DJIA
|
-3.85
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-26.32
|
-3.73
|
|
NASDAQ
|
+16.56
|
-20.81
|
-1.85
|
|
S&P 500
|
+1.73
|
-28.39
|
-3.80
|
(Source: CNNMoney.com, 6/26/09)
Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends.
Riddle of the week. In terms of date and time, what was so significant about 3,661 seconds past midnight on January 1, 2001?
Contact my office or see next week’s Update for the answer.
Last week’s riddle answer: The Roman numeral IV can be made V by taking away I, the Roman numeral one.
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Karen A. Ibach, CFP, Disclosure:
These views are those of Peter Montoya Inc., and not the presenting Representative or the Representative’s Broker/Dealer, and should not be construed as investment advice. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the "NYSE") and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world's largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. The market indices discussed are unmanaged. Investors cannot invest in unmanaged indices. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If other expert assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional. Please consult your Financial Advisor for further information. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. Securities offered through Waterstone Financial Group, member FINRA/SIPC.
Citations.
1 bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&sid=aa9K84vVl_sA [6/26/09]
2 bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=apkAeuPJBaJw [6/24/09]
3 finance.yahoo.com/news/Fed-holds-policy-steady-sees-rb-3591764517.html?x=0 [6/24/09]
4 money.cnn.com/2009/06/24/real_estate/new_home_sales/?postversion=2009062410 [6/24/09]
5 cnbc.com/id/31569269 [6/26/09]
6 money.cnn.com/data/markets/dow/? [6/26/09]
6 money.cnn.com/data/markets/nasdaq/? [6/26/09]
6 money.cnn.com/data/markets/sandp/? [6/26/09]
6 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&close_date=6%2F26%2F08&mode=add&symb=DJIA [6/26/09]
6 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&close_date=6%2F25%2F04&mode=add&symb=DJIA [6/26/09]
6 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&close_date=6%2F26%2F08&mode=add&symb=COMP [6/26/09]
6 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&close_date=6%2F25%2F04&mode=add&symb=COMP [6/26/09]
6 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&close_date=6%2F26%2F08&mode=add&symb=SPX [6/26/09]
6 money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&close_date=6%2F25%2F04&mode=add&symb=SPX [6/26/09]